Sabtu, 20 April 2013

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Efficiently Inefficient: How Smart Money Invests and Market Prices Are Determined, by Lasse Heje Pedersen

Efficiently Inefficient describes the key trading strategies used by hedge funds and demystifies the secret world of active investing. Leading financial economist Lasse Heje Pedersen combines the latest research with real-world examples and interviews with top hedge fund managers to show how certain trading strategies make money--and why they sometimes don't.

Pedersen views markets as neither perfectly efficient nor completely inefficient. Rather, they are inefficient enough that money managers can be compensated for their costs through the profits of their trading strategies and efficient enough that the profits after costs do not encourage additional active investing. Understanding how to trade in this efficiently inefficient market provides a new, engaging way to learn finance. Pedersen analyzes how the market price of stocks and bonds can differ from the model price, leading to new perspectives on the relationship between trading results and finance theory. He explores several different areas in depth--fundamental tools for investment management, equity strategies, macro strategies, and arbitrage strategies--and he looks at such diverse topics as portfolio choice, risk management, equity valuation, and yield curve logic. The book's strategies are illuminated further by interviews with leading hedge fund managers: Lee Ainslie, Cliff Asness, Jim Chanos, Ken Griffin, David Harding, John Paulson, Myron Scholes, and George Soros.

Efficiently Inefficient effectively demonstrates how financial markets really work.

Free problem sets are available online at http://www.lhpedersen.com

  • Sales Rank: #105464 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-04-13
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 1.10" h x 6.40" w x 9.50" l, 1.70 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 368 pages

Review
"Pedersen's book can be recommended to a wide spectrum of readers interested in financial markets in general and hedge funds in particular."--Jacek Klich, Central Banking

"Encyclopedic in its cataloguing of active management strategies and authoritative in its analysis of the practical issues of their implementation. Pedersen grounds his exposition in landmark scholarly articles and, where quantitative analysis is required to elucidate a concept, conveys his message without resorting to arcane mathematics."--Martin S. Fridson, Financial Analysts Journal

From the Back Cover

"This valuable and intriguing book provides a contemporary survey of investments across a wide spectrum of asset classes and strategies. Combining a wonderful narrative with a rigorous analytical structure, Efficiently Inefficient serves the needs of students, serious investors, and professionals. It is an important contribution to the investment literature."--Gary P. Brinson, CFA, GP Brinson Investments

"For a book on investments, Efficiently Inefficient sets a completely different and higher standard. Pedersen blends the best and latest research, accessible to both MBA students and professionals, with the insights of some of the world's leading hedge fund managers. It works beautifully."--Darrell Duffie, Stanford University

"Efficiently Inefficient is a truly modern and masterful introduction to how finance will be studied and practiced in the twenty-first century."--Andrei Shleifer, Harvard University

"How are markets efficient enough to stump most investors, yet inefficient enough to allow hedge fund managers to earn huge profits? Lasse Pedersen, who has contributed greatly to the 'new finance' of liquidity and financial frictions, answers this question with a tour-de-force combination of original research and provocative interviews with hedge fund managers."--Laurence B. Siegel, CFA Institute Research Foundation

"Lasse Pedersen is a gifted financial market theorist who understands that theory is most satisfying when it is combined with a deep practical understanding of institutional detail and market frictions. This terrific book showcases his strengths in all of these dimensions."--Jeremy Stein, Harvard University

"This accessible book explains hedge fund strategies and how to design, construct, evaluate, implement, and risk manage them. The section on securities lending and borrowing is interesting and novel, and Pedersen's discussion of macro and central bank strategies is one of the best I have seen in any book on hedge funds. His account of portfolio construction is superior."--Robert Kosowski, Imperial College Business School

"Efficiently Inefficient bridges academic finance and the practice of finance. Students will appreciate the insights of top investment managers and the sections on transactions costs and liquidity are especially valuable. I will use the book in my graduate course on investment and I highly recommend it to all those working in the investment management industry."--Campbell R. Harvey, editor of the Journal of Finance (2006-2012)

About the Author
Lasse Heje Pedersen is a finance professor at Copenhagen Business School and New York University's Stern School of Business, and a principal at AQR Capital Management. A distinguished financial economist, he has won a number of awards, notably the Bern�cer Prize, awarded to European economists under forty who have made outstanding contributions in macroeconomics and finance.

Most helpful customer reviews

31 of 33 people found the following review helpful.
Efficiently Efficient in Explaning Smart Beta and Other Strategies . . .
By D. CHEN
Efficiently Inefficient breaks down the primary ways by which hedge funds (and conventional money managers) attempt to generate positive returns for their investors. It provides an overview of the hedge fund industry by going into the mechanics of the industry and then follows with detailed descriptions of the different strategies employed. Immediately after the Table of Contents, the author provides the gist of the book in three simple tables. These tables provide a very efficient overview of the main topics in each section of the book.

In a nutshell the book could be outlined as:

Part I
This section has five chapters which provide an overview of the theoretical aspects of investing. It covers an overview of the hedge fund industry in chapter one followed by a brief explanations of the “greek” alphabet of performance measurement in chapter two. The remaining chapters discuss issues in back-testing, perspectives on risk management followed by discussion of trading costs and leverage.

Part II
Part II of the book discusses the three primary equity strategies which the author has broken down as Discretionary Equity Trading, Dedicated Short Bias and Quantitative Equity Investing. This book outlines the theoretical principles of each of these primary strategies and ends each respective chapter with an interview with a respected practitioner of the strategy. Discretionary Equity investing is what would probably be familiar to most investors. It is the Graham & Dodd realm of investing. The next chapter on Dedicated Short bias gets into the thesis, details and complications of short selling and ends with an interview with noted short seller James Chanos. The final chapter in this section gets into Quantitative Equity investing. Arguably, this is the chapter that hones in on what has been in the investing limelight in recent years as it discusses investing in factors such as value, momentum, size and volatility as well as statistical arbitrage. A lot of the material in this chapter relates to the recent interest in “smart beta.” The interview that concludes this chapter is with Cliff Asness whose firm is also the author’s employer and one of the leaders in creating smart beta products.

Part III
This section of the book gets beyond the realm of equity security selection into larger asset allocation picture. Included here is a chapter on Global Macro Investing which ends with an interview with arguably the most famous global macro manager ever, George Soros. A chapter on managed futures follows with discussions of trend-focused analysis and an interview with David Harding of Winton Capital.

Part IV
The final section of the book has separate chapters on Fixed-Income Arbitrage, Convertible Bond Arbitrage and a final chapter on Event-Driven Arbitrage. As with the other chapters, each ends with an interview with a noted practitioner of each respective strategy. In these chapters, the author interviews Nobel Laureate Myron Scholes, hedge fund managers Ken Griffin and John Paulson.

Pedersen’s book could be used as a supplementary text for a college or MBA program but it does not read pedantically like a college text book. While some math appears, it is kept to a decent minimum. The clear and concise discussion of the theoretical basis for each strategy is followed nicely by an interview with a practitioner in that space. The interviews do follow in the spirit of books by John Train and Jack Schwager (albeit briefer) and help in providing color to each chapter. Arguably Pedersen’s work provides an efficient and very readable survey on the state of the investing environment today.

10 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
A great book!
By Finance professor
This book is a delight for both practitioners and students in finance and economics. Practitioners will be drawn to the many useful investment rules that can produce excess returns which, importantly, are based on sound financial-economic analysis, not just a mechanical search for rules of what has worked in the past (such rules may stop working subsequently). Examples include “Low-Risk Investing” (p. 140) and “Convertible Bond Arbitrage” (Ch. 15), which is a clever way of buying cheap illiquid convertible bonds and hedging with stocks, exploiting in part the illiquidity premium. In both cases, the underlying reason for the potential excess return is here to stay, rooted in the liquidity need of most investors, who sacrifice risk-adjusted returns for higher liquidity or to avoid leverage. And, because the book puts practical flesh on the bones of finance theory, it is extremely valuable for students and academics in finance. The book brings finance topics to life for students, making it so much easier to teach courses in investment strategies. And, the book will give academics and doctoral students lots of research ideas.

6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
High quality
By investingbythebooks
This text is an unusual hybrid of a description of hedge fund investment styles, investor interviews and a finance textbook. The book’s promise is to be a mix of Antti Ilmanen’s Expected Returns (an AQR colleague) and Jack Swager’s “wizard-series”. Efficiently Inefficient doesn’t fully live up to this standard but I still like it.

This hybrid approach isn’t surprising given the author’s parallel and impressive career path. Pedersen is a finance professor at both NYU and Copenhagen Business School and has written several important papers earning him the title of best European economist under 40. Further he’s on the editorial board of The Journal of Finance and a research associate at NBER. For most of us this would be more than enough but this is only half the story. The author is also a principal on AQR’s asset management team and as such an important part of one of the world’s largest hedge funds. This has no doubt given him easier access to the many investors to interview in this book. At least Pedersen has turned 43 by now so even he can’t have it all…

The introductory section on the nuts and bolts of hedge funds (called Active Investment in the typical modest hedge fund style) discusses topics like risk management, back testing, trading, performance measurement etc. I found the notion of several different types of liquidity premiums very interesting and now and then the author presented a nugget I hadn’t thought of but mostly this section gives the foundation for the rest of the book by describing the general character of “smart money” and the activities that hedge funds perform.

The remainder of the book analyzes eight common hedge fund investment strategies: long-short equities, short-selling, quantitative equities, global macro, managed futures, fixed-income arbitrage, convertible bond arbitrage and event-driven investments. Initially the strategy is described from a textbook type of angle and then Pedersen continues to show how they are practiced. The text on each strategy is finally ended with interviews with rock star practitioners like James Chanos, Cliff Asness, George Soros, Ken Griffin, John Paulson and many more.

Despite the author’s high level of understanding he manages to deliver a high quality but also easily understandable guide to the strategies. Pedersen’s theoretical background is in mathematical economics but save one chapter the number of equations is kept fairly low. With a whole spectrum of investment strategies some will surely interest certain readers more and some less. Due to the number of equations in the text and my low interest of investment strategies trying to find arbitrage opportunities among bonds and bills I largely skipped the text on fixed-income arbitrage.

A positive surprise to me was the interview with John Paulson who I’ve seen as a bit reckless going all in on the “greatest trade” in mortgage backed securities and then losing most of the gains on gold. Instead, in the interview on event-driven investment, I found Paulson both reasoning, intelligent and ready to learn from others. I’m further struck by how many of the strategies used and also the language used by hedge funds that has become an integral part of the everyday life of pension funds – no doubt wanting to become a bit more “smart money” themselves.

My main quarrel with the book is that it overpromises to some extent. The main title Efficiently Inefficient and the subtitle How Smart Money Invests & Market Prices are Determined implies a focus on pricing theory where markets are “inefficient but to an efficient extent” so that professional investors are compensated for their work. Well, if you don’t count simply showing how a number of hedge fund investment strategies earn money there is disappointingly little of general discussion on this topic in the book.

Competent, high quality but a little overreaching.

This is a review by investingbythebooks.com

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Jumat, 19 April 2013

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  • Sales Rank: #3895658 in Books
  • Published on: 2012
  • Binding: Hardcover

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  • Sales Rank: #1763379 in Books
  • Published on: 2006
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  • Sales Rank: #34772 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-03-10
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.10" h x .75" w x 7.40" l, 1.47 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 352 pages

From the Back Cover

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If you want to dive into taking great photos with your Nikon D5300 dSLR, but don’t know where to start, this is the resource for you! Use this definitive guide to the Nikon D5300 to discover all the features the camera has to offer, and go beyond the basics with tips and tricks on exposure, color, focus, advanced settings, and much more!

  • Get on the fast track — get up and running in no time with tips on preparing your camera, attaching lenses, and using controls
  • Beyond the basics — go further with an exploration of exposure, aperture, shutter speed, ISO, and depth of field
  • Mastery within reach — take your photos to the next level with autofocus controls, flash features, color options, and more
  • After the shot — get help with rating photos, downloading files, and preparing pictures for online sharing
  • Fun features and more — add special effects, shoot HD movies, and use built-in retouching tools

Open the book and find:

  • Tips on using built-in Wi-Fi and GPS
  • Easy-to-understand explanations of camera jargon
  • How to use autobracketing and HDR mode
  • Tricks on working with image files and sizes
  • Help with solving exposure problems
  • The lowdown on recording movies
  • Ideas to improve portraits and close-up shots
  • Tricks for shooting action

About the Author

Julie Adair King is a veteran photographer, author, and teacher. She is the author of several For Dummies books about Nikon and Canon dSLR cameras, with sales totaling more than 400,000 copies. She is also the bestselling author of all editions of Digital Photography For Dummies.

Most helpful customer reviews

24 of 26 people found the following review helpful.
Worthy investment
By snow0160
I have a book on how to take photographs but this one is specific to your camera. I am so happy this came out along with my new camera. The Nikon D5300 is my first dslr so I really enjoyed how this book goes into substantial detail over every technical function but on top of that, it teaches you about exposure and how to take a professional quality photograph as well.

12 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
EXCELLENT!
By Amazon Customer
The author is very knowledgeable about the camera. Her writing style is easy to follow and I have learned SOOO much about my new camera! Would definitely recommend this book.

10 of 10 people found the following review helpful.
Very good to have
By Roger J. Buffington
This is a very good starting point for users of the Nikon D5300. The D5300 comes with not much of a manual, and I found that this one filled the gap. It is great that one can have this on one's Kindle or iPad, for easy reference in the field. I found that if I just read through this one like a novel and highlighted the important chapters that I wound up with a very handy reference guide. The author's writing is clear and helpful, unlike Nikon's "manual." RJB.

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Jumat, 12 April 2013

[Z222.Ebook] Free PDF Incredible Answers to Prayer, by Roger J. Morneau

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Incredible Answers to Prayer, by Roger J. Morneau

Incredible Answers to Prayer is an exhilarating spiritual experience. It will send chills down your spine and make you rejoice that you too serve the "Lord of the Impossible." Roger Morneau has witnessed hundreds of miracles. Some saved him from an early death. But most were in response to prayers for others. People dying in a hospital get well. A man pronounced dead by his doctor lives. A woman's shattered relationship is suddenly filled with love and acceptance. Another man's life and business turn around within days.

  • Sales Rank: #3844056 in Books
  • Published on: 1999
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 96 pages

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[H729.Ebook] Download Edgar Cayce's Herbal and First-Aid Remedies, by Simone Gabbay

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Edgar Cayce's Herbal and First-Aid Remedies, by Simone Gabbay

"Edgar Cayce's Herbal and First-Aid Remedies" outlines herbs and herbal formulations recommended in the readings of the renowned Christian mystic, visionary, and "Father of Holistic Medicine" Edgar Cayce (1877-1945). Also discussed are herbs in other healing traditions, as well as modern scientific research.

CONTENTS:
Introduction
Herbal Remedies: Nature's Own Cures
Herbs in the Cayce Readings
- American Saffron
- Camomile
- Mullein
- Slippery Elm Bark
- Watermelon Seed Tea
- Cayce Herbal Formulations
Herbs and Nutrition for Dental Health
- The Fluoride Question
Herbal First Aid
- Asthma Attack
- Bites and Stings
- Cuts and Bleeding
- Bruises
- Burns
- Colds and Flu
- Constipation and Indigestion
- Cramps and Muscle Spasms
- Diarrhea
- Earaches
- Fevers and Infections
- Headaches and Migraines
- Pain
- Sprains
- Toothache
- Vomiting

This comprehensive e-booklet is a stand-alone topic excerpt from the book Visionary Medicine: Real Hope for Total Healing by Simone Gabbay.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Simone Gabbay, RNCP, is a holistic nutritionist, writer, and editor in Toronto, Canada. She is the author of three books based on the readings of the late Christian mystic and clairvoyant Edgar Cayce: "Nourishing the Body Temple: Edgar Cayce's Approach to Nutrition," "Edgar Cayce's Diet Plan for Optimal Health and Weight Loss," and "Visionary Medicine: Real Hope for Total Healing," from which this e-booklet is excerpted.

Simone writes a nutrition column for Venture Inward magazine, the membership magazine of the Association for Research and Enlightenment (A.R.E.) in Virginia Beach, Virginia, USA, and the Body, Mind, and Soul column for The Open Road, the membership magazine of Edgar Cayce Canada. She has contributed articles to many other publications, including the popular Canadian health magazine "alive."

[Cover design by Benjamin Gabbay]

  • Sales Rank: #954796 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2011-07-26
  • Released on: 2011-07-26
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

4 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
A Beginners Guide.
By Amazon Customer
I always enjoy reading Cayce books because they are filled with his knowledge. This particular book was somewhat watered-down for advanced herbalists or those familiar with first aide. It is a great book for beginners and the herbs suggested are great all purpose herbs anyone should have available.

Worth the read!

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Edgar Cayce
By Renie Walsh
I was disappointed in this book - probably expected more advice and insight into Cayce and his teachings. I am sure there are other books out there that could be more informative for me.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Edgar Cayce is Great!
By AKT
I really enjoy anything about Edgar Cayce in general. I have many herbal and home remedy books. This will be used all the time and is at the top, as far as I'm concerned.

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Kamis, 11 April 2013

[T909.Ebook] Ebook Irrational Exuberance, by Robert J. Shiller

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Irrational Exuberance, by Robert J. Shiller

With a new Afterword on the current state of the stock market, the ongoing debate over the “new economy,” and the larger implications of “irrational exuberance.”

In this controversial, hard-hitting account of today’s explosive market, Robert J. Shiller, a leading expert on market volatility, evokes Alan Greenspan’s infamous 1996 reference, “irrational exuberance,” to explain the alternately soaring and declining stock market. Shiller’s unconventional yet persuasive argument credits an unprecedented confluence of events with driving stocks to uncharted heights, and he analyzes the structural, cultural, and psychological factors behind these levels of growth not reflected in any other sector of the economy. Now more relevant than ever, this analysis is both chilling and convincing—a must-read for the individual investor, the policy maker, and the investment professional.

  • Sales Rank: #1465804 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Broadway
  • Published on: 2001-04-10
  • Released on: 2001-04-10
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.19" h x .89" w x 5.46" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 319 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Amazon.com Review
CNBC, day trading, the Motley Fool, Silicon Investor--not since the 1920s has there been such an intense fascination with the U.S. stock market. For an increasing number of Americans, logging on to Yahoo! Finance is a habit more precious than that morning cup of joe (as thousands of SBUX and YHOO shareholders know too well). Yet while the market continues to go higher, many of us can't get Alan Greenspan's famous line out of our heads. In Irrational Exuberance, Yale economics professor Robert J. Shiller examines this public fascination with stocks and sees a combination of factors that have driven stocks higher, including the rise of the Internet, 401(k) plans, increased coverage by the popular media of financial news, overly optimistic cheerleading by analysts and other pundits, the decline of inflation, and the rise of the mutual fund industry. He writes: "Perceived long-term risk is down.... Emotions and heightened attention to the market create a desire to get into the game. Such is irrational exuberance today in the United States."

By history's yardstick, Shiller believes this market is grossly overvalued, and the factors that have conspired to create and amplify this event--the baby-boom effect, the public infatuation with the Internet, and media interest--will most certainly abate. He fears that too many individuals and institutions have come to view stocks as their only investment vehicle, and that investors should consider looking beyond stocks as a way to diversify and hedge against the inevitable downturn. This is a serious and well-researched book that should read like a Stephen King novel to anyone who has staked his or her future on the market's continued success. --Harry C. Edwards

From Library Journal
Taking his book's title and thesis from Alan Greenspan's 1996 description of investors, Shiller (economics, Yale Univ.) studies the current booming U.S. stock market in historical terms. His research into past U.S. and international markets indicates that during every speculative bubble there was always widespread consensus that high valuations were justified by each market's special circumstances. Every large market correction seemed to result from popular consensus rather than specific events or news. Shiller says that past bull and bear markets, though often based initially on sound fundamental reasoning, fed upon themselves to go beyond what the facts justified. He challenges the efficient market theory, demonstrating that markets cannot be explained historically by the movement of company earnings or dividends. He concludes that the current U.S. stock market is a speculative bubble awaiting correction. While the book certainly belongs in all academic business collections, public libraries should also purchase it as a counterweight to the plethora of get-rich-quick investment guides.
-Lawrence R. Maxted, Gannon Univ., Erie, PA
Copyright 2000 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From The New Yorker
During the past decade, he has emerged as a leader in the new field of "behavioral finance" which seeks to apply lessons learned from other academic disciplines, particularly psychology to economics. Irrational Exuberance is not just a prophecy of doom. Encompassing history, sociology, and biology, as well as psychology and economics, it is a serious attempt to explain how speculative bubbles come about and how they sustain themselves.

Most helpful customer reviews

459 of 481 people found the following review helpful.
An Act of Courage
By Arnold Kling
Robert Shiller argues that the stock market has experienced a bubble. He makes his case on the basis of a sober statistical judgement. However, in layman's terms, what he says boils down to, "If it walks like a duck, it is a duck." Demonstrating the absurdity of today's stock prices does not require clever statistical modeling.
This begs the question of why a bubble emerged in the late 1990's. Shiller discusses several cultural factors such as the ever-higher profile of the stock market in the media, including the Internet.
This begs the question of how it is possible for so many people wrongly to be optimistic about stocks. Shiller cites many findings in psychology, such as Asch Conformity, to explain how people can listen to others against their own best judgement.
This begs the question of whether it could be Shiller who is irrational. Shiller examines and refutes the arguments that pundits have made to rationalize exuberance.
There are three audiences for this book, all of whom will find it threatening.
1. Ordinary investors. You will not want to read this book, because it asks you to confront an issue that you would be more comfortable avoiding. However, once you do dive into it, you will be rewarded with sober facts and analysis that you can use to resist the siren calls of pundits, brokers, and friends to buy into the bubble.
I can assure you that Robert Shiller did not write this book to make his own fortune. The book jacket says nothing like "five strategies to survive the bubble," although he does mention some conservative investment alternatives. There certainly is no endorsement from Suze Orman or any of the other best-selling gurus that he swiftly skewers. This is just an honest book from a scholar with the highest integrity: an act of courage.
2. Economists. I can see a lot of squirming, particularly as Shiller discusses psychological studies that undermine the cherished rationality assumptions of our profession. Shiller is generous with those who disagree with him. He won't say it, but I will.
Shame on us.
Those of us who know better have been too silent. Paul Krugman wastes his bully pulpit in the New York Times discussing IMF esoterica, and only when Shiller's book came out did he mention the bubble.
Then there are those of us who don't know better. The hundreds of finance professor hacks whose tenure rests on mindless justifications and interpretations of irrational stock price movements. ("Events of type X create, on average, $Y of value." Oh, please.)
3. Policy analysts
This book certainly will not appeal to those who think that the biggest problem we are going to face in the next ten years is what to do with budget surpluses. Shiller correctly points out that the social security debate needs to be conducted, at a fundamental level, about what exactly we are promising ourselves. The trade-off between compassion and freedom must be faced. I wish he had illustrated this with a spectrum of alternatives--libertarian, socialist, and in between. This might have helped flesh out an otherwise terse discussion.

72 of 74 people found the following review helpful.
Rational Analysis
By B.Sudhakar Shenoy
I read the second edition of this book since it is enlarged with the study of the housing market. The phenomenon of bubbles and negative bubbles or collapses is described extremely well by means of statistical data of markets for over a century and a half. The raw data is adjusted to inflation to give a realistic perspective of the trends and patterns. Bubbles seem to be occurring at regular intervals typically based on the "new era" story and everyone believes at least during the heady days that good times are here to stay. But as shown by proven evidence of the past, no bubble has sustained itself permanently and good reason prevails sooner or later. When this happens, the bloated bubble collapses and the hangover is terrible. The story so far is quite simple. But what makes this book so interesting is the depth of research and the manner in which the phenomenon is studied and explained.

The combination of mass psychology and market prices is at the core of this book. For bubbles to happen, information flow is the key. Media plays a significant role in disseminating information and bubbles seem to have originated in recorded history after the advent of the print media. In recent times electronic media particularly the television and the internet play a significant role in speeding up bubble formation and also the reversals. Media needs a storyline and this story needs to be continued to retain customers on a daily basis. Stock market is the ideal place that offers an opportunity to try one's luck if a casino is far away. Backed by on-line dedicated news channels and internet trading, well, it is not surprising that we have day traders in herds. In such situations fundamentals like industry analysis and P/E ratios take a backseat as explained by the author. Historical averages are breached and a euphoria of "once in a life time opportunity" prevails. What happens to the Efficient Markets Theory in such situations?. Since this theory says that markets are perfectly priced based on all publicly available information there cannot be a situation of either under pricing or over pricing. This book perfectly challenges the efficiency and accuracy of this theory.

It is unfortunate that substantial amounts of investments meant to be otherwise risk free sources of income, pension funds for example, are getting diverted into risky markets. Here the author has come out with a list of some sound proposals to protect hard earned life long savings of innocent citizens who are exposed to the irrationality of markets.

The bubble in the housing market is also discussed well. Housing seems to be isolated bubbles occurring in specific regions and not a global phenomenon. But nevertheless the damage can be the same. The party of low interest rate regime seems to be over and a spike in mortgage rates is sure to be the needle that will prick right through this big speculative bubble.

What goes up has to come down ! But once you start reading this book, it is difficult to put it down. Intellectually stimulating and bound to be economically rewarding.

78 of 81 people found the following review helpful.
Irrational Exuberance
By Harvey S. Karten
Robert J. Shiller's "Irrational Exuberance" is about the most bearish book you could ever read about the stock market. Filled with charts and graphs and footnotes of every description, the book--whose title comes from a quote by Alan Greenspan--attacks Wall Street ideas that have become so accepted that they are household sayings. The principal such idea is that securities have always been the best investments over the long run--beating out bonds, foreign currencies, rare stamps, gold and the like. Shiller points out quite a few examples of how market prices, principally the Dow, have remained pretty flat over some periods of 10, 20, 30 years when corrected for inflation. In some circumstances, you might have done better if you put your spare cash in the bank.
Of course the market has been a great place to stash your cash if you got in at the right time--in 1982, for example, at the very start of the longest-running bull market in history. But put your money there now at your own risk. Seventy-two percent of mutual fund managers believe that we're in a speculative bubble now, with the Dow, at 11,000, reaching for figures that far exceed the historic level which would put the rational figure at 6,000. Shiller would not be surprised if the Dow settled in at, say, 10,000--in the year 2020! And what's more, he'd not be astonished if the Dow sank to 6,000 in the near future.
I was convinced after reading Shiller. He has marshalled his facts in a carefully researched screed against following the sheep-like crowds and I have replaced the tens of millions I had invested in common stocks with far more secure, if less exciting, instruments.
Harvey S. Karten film_critic@compuserve.com

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Sabtu, 06 April 2013

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  • Published on: 1600
  • Binding: Paperback

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Jumat, 05 April 2013

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This book contends that beneath the frenzied activism of the sixties and the seeming quiescence of the seventies, a "silent revolution" has been occurring that is gradually but fundamentally changing political life throughout the Western world. Ronald Inglehart focuses on two aspects of this revolution: a shift from an overwhelming emphasis on material values and physical security toward greater concern with the quality of life; and an increase in the political skills of Western publics that enables them to play a greater role in making important political decisions.

Originally published in 1977.

The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

  • Sales Rank: #3944692 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-03-08
  • Released on: 2015-03-08
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.25" h x 1.12" w x 6.00" l, 1.52 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 496 pages

About the Author
Ronald Inglehart is a professor of political science and program director at the Institute for Social Research at the University of Michigan. He helped found the Euro-Barometer surveys and directs the World Values Surveys. His most recent books are Modernization and Postmodernization: Cultural, Economic and Political Change in 43 Societies (Princeton University Press, 1997), (with Pippa Norris) Rising Tide: Gender Equality in Global Perspective (Cambridge University Press, 2003), and (with Pippa Norris) Sacred and Secular: Religion and Politics Worldwide (Cambridge University Press, 2004). Author of almost 200 publications, he has been a visiting professor or scholar in France, Germany, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, and Nigeria and has served as a consultant to the US State Department and the European Union.

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Selasa, 02 April 2013

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Focus on earth science

  • Sales Rank: #897571 in Books
  • Published on: 2005-01-31
  • Format: Student Edition
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 11.00" h x 8.50" w x 1.25" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 759 pages

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Arrived earlier than shipped delivery date estimate, and in like new condition as advertised
By Jonathan Luk
Good book, used by our school, we wanted to buy our own copy so that our daughter would not have to lug it back and forth to/from school. Great low price.

It arrived earlier than the shipped delivery date estimate, and in like new condition as advertised.

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Great Earth Science Textbook
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This textbook makes a potentially dull subject interesting. Thanks to Amazon.com for making textbooks available at reasonable prices.

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Five Stars
By zeene
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